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Konuşmacılardan bazıları siyasi analistler ve anket uzmanları olarak tanıtılıyor.","Video, 2024 Türkiye yerel seçimlerinin sonuçlarını, kazananları ve seçim dinamiklerini kartogramlar ve grafikler üzerinden inceliyor. Konuşmacılar, CHP'nin kazanmasının nedenleri, AK Parti'nin konsolidasyon gücünün zayıflaması, Yeniden Refah Partisi'nin genişleyen etkisi ve İstanbul'daki ilçelerdeki siyasi değişimlerin nedenleri gibi konuları ele alıyor.","Videoda ayrıca seçim katılım oranları, partilerin sosyoekonomik gelişmişlik seviyelerine göre performansları, İstanbul'daki demografik değişimler ve ekonomik krizin seçim sonuçlarına etkisi gibi konular da tartışılmaktadır. Konuşmacılar, seçim sonuçlarının Türkiye'nin siyasi yapısına ve geleceğine etkileri hakkında değerlendirmeler yaparak, erken seçim olasılığı gibi konuları da ele alıyorlar."]},"endTime":2714,"title":"Türkiye Yerel Seçimleri Analizi","beginTime":0}],"fullResult":[{"index":0,"title":"Seçim Sonuçlarının Analizi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Programda sandık analizi yapılacak ve bu konuda Erman'ın büyük oranda katkı sağladığı belirtiliyor.","Seçim sonuçlarını analiz etmek için önce seçimin kazananı ve kaybedeni kim olduğu soruluyor.","Seçimin en önemli kazananları olarak CHP lideri Özgür Özel, Ekrem İmamoğlu, Yeniden Refah Partisi ve Mansur Yavaş gibi karakterler sayılabilir."]},"beginTime":0,"endTime":143,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=0&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":1,"title":"Seçimdeki Önemli Dinamikler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Seçimde üç önemli dinamik ortaya çıkmış: AK Parti ve MHP'nin küskün seçmenlerinin sandığa gitmemesi.","AK Parti ve MHP seçmenlerinin kendi bölgelerindeki adayları beğendikleri için CHP adaylarına oy vermesi.","Küskün iktidar seçmenlerinin bir kısmı Yeniden Refah'a, bir kısmı ise Ekrem İmamoğlu veya Mansur Yavaş gibi adayların personasına oy vermesi."]},"beginTime":143,"endTime":230,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=143&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":2,"title":"Seçim Sonrası Duygular","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Seçimden hemen sonraki araştırmada insanlara \"hangi iki duyguyu hissettiniz\" sorusu sorulmuş.","Türkiye genelinde %30 şaşkınlıkla, %33 sevinçle karşılanmış.","AK Parti ve MHP seçmenlerinde sevinç ve gururun diğer parti seçmenlerine göre daha az olduğu, hayal kırıklığının yüksek oranda olduğu 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seti ile yeniden çizilmesidir ve bu örnekte nüfusla ilgili bir kartogram gösterilmiştir.","2014'teki seçim sonuçlarında iktidar partilerinin baskınlığı vardı, ancak 2019'da MHP ve CHP'nin kazandığı ilçeler artmış, özellikle sahil bölgelerinde ve İstanbul'da CHP'nin yaygınlaşması görülmüştür.","2024 seçimlerinde ise bir renk cümbüşü yaşanmış, mozaik bir yapı oluşmuş ve bu durum kutuplaşmanın ve konsolidasyonun hafif hafif çatırdadığını göstermektedir."]},"beginTime":354,"endTime":417,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=354&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":5,"title":"Yeniden Refah ve İyi Parti","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Yeniden Refah Partisi, küskün AK Partili kitlesini kendine çekebildi ve AK Parti'nin son 5-10 senedir konsolidasyon gücünü biraz kaybetmiş görünmektedir.","İyi Parti, 14 Mayıs seçimleri itibariyle CHP'den kopan daha ulusalcı, milliyetçi ama sosyal sermayesi daha yüksek ve CHP'ye artık oy vermek istemeyen kısmen genç beyaz yakalı insanları kendisine çekme potansiyeli vardı.","İyi Parti'nin seçim öncesi anlaşamama hali ve Türkiye'nin kaderini yanlış bir yöne doğru götürme izlenimi vermesi, tabanını tamamen kaybettirmiştir."]},"beginTime":417,"endTime":558,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=417&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":6,"title":"Seçim Beklentileri ve Gerçekler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["İstanbul'da yapılan araştırmalarda CHP'nin 6-8 puan farkla önde olduğu görülmüş, nihayetinde 9,5 puan farka ulaşmıştır.","Sandığa katılım, araştırma şirketleri için ölçmesi en zor olan şeylerden biridir çünkü kimin gidip gitmeyeceğini bilmiyoruz.","2023-2024 aralığında AK Parti seçmenleri Erdoğan'a bir kredi tanıdılar, ancak 14 Mayıs'tan sonra vatandaşlara temas edemediği için beklenti negatife dönmeye 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olmuştur."]},"beginTime":627,"endTime":823,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=627&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":8,"title":"Seçim Sonuçları ve İktidar Değişimi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["14 Mayıs'tan önce herkesin iktidarın değişmesi gerektiğini düşündüğü bir durum, 31 Mart 2024'te gerçekleşti.","Kılıçdaroğlu'nun girmediği seçimi bile kaybetmeyi başarması, onun etkisinin ölçülmesi mümkün değil.","CHP'deki değişim, Özgür Özel'in Kılıçdaroğlu'nun yerine geçmesiyle gerçekleşti, ancak bu değişimin çok büyük bir fark yaratmadığı düşünülüyor."]},"beginTime":830,"endTime":877,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=830&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":9,"title":"Seçim Sonuçlarının Değerlendirilmesi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["2023'te kazanılabilecek bir seçim kaybedilirken, 2024'te kazanılabilecek bir seçim kazanıldı.","Parti'nin söylemi ve mevcut belediye başkanlarının toplumla kurduğu ilişki, seçmende karşılık üretti.","2004'ten beri en düşük katılım oranına ulaşıldı, 2004 yerel seçimlerinde %76,30 oranında katılım olmuştu."]},"beginTime":877,"endTime":916,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=877&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":10,"title":"Katılım Oranları ve Seçim Davranışları","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye'de %78 katılım oranı düşük olsa da dünya standartlarına göre iyi bir oran.","Danimarka'da %84, Fransa'da %47, İtalya'da %63, İspanya'da %66, İngiltere'de %67, Amerika'da %56 oranında katılım görülüyor.","Son birkaç seçimdir Türkiye'de \"küskün seçmeli\" tarif ediliyor, özellikle AK Parti'nin çoğunluğu alamamasındaki en büyük etken AK Parti seçmenlerinin sandığa gitmemesiydi."]},"beginTime":916,"endTime":972,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=916&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":11,"title":"Yerel Seçimlerde Oy Dağılımı ve Katılım Oranı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Yerel seçimlerde katılım oranının düşmesi, AK Parti seçmenlerinin gitmemesi ve CHP'ye kayan oy, seçim sonuçlarını değiştiren dinamiklerden biridir.","AK Parti seçmenlerinin bir çatısı olmadığı için, yarın yapılacak genel seçimde nasıl hareket edeceklerine dair öngörüde bulunmak spekülatif olabilir.","Seçimdeki oy kayması tek bir cümleyle açıklanamaz; iktidar seçmeni ve Erdoğan seçmeni sandığa gitmemesi denklemin değiştiren faktörlerinden biridir."]},"beginTime":976,"endTime":1054,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=976&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":12,"title":"Erdoğan'ın Seçim Stratejisi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Erdoğan ilk defa bir seçimi kendi referandumuna döndürme kapasitesine sahip bir siyasetçi olarak görülüyor ve bu stratejiyle yük kazanıyor.","Erdoğan yeni seçilmiş olduğu için kaybedeceği kavgaya girmemiş olabilir ve bu nedenle Murat Kurum'un arkasına geçip Ekrem İmamoğlu'yla dövüşe çıkmamıştır.","Erdoğan'ın 2019'daki etkinliğiyle 2024'teki etkinliği kıyaslanabilir gibi görünmüyor."]},"beginTime":1054,"endTime":1130,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1054&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":13,"title":"İlçe Bazında Oy Dağılımı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["CHP'nin yüzde 50'nin üzerinde oy aldığı 107 ilçe ve herhangi bir partinin 50'nin üzerinde almadığı 714 ilçe bulunmaktadır.","Toplam 973 ilçe olan Türkiye'de, 2019'da 714 ilçe yerine büyük ihtimalle 500 civarında AK Parti'nin yüzde 50'nin üstünde aldığı yer vardı.","Sosyoekonomik gelişmişlik seviyesine göre yapılan analizde, CHP'nin oylarındaki azalma birinci kademeden altıncı kademeye doğru giderken net olarak görülüyor."]},"beginTime":1130,"endTime":1217,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1130&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":14,"title":"Partilerin Sosyoekonomik Seviyelere Göre Dağılımı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["AK Parti her kademede aynı oranda var olup, birinci kademede CHP'ye göre daha az olsa da hiçbir zaman varlığı yok olmuyor.","MHP her kademede eşit olarak yok değil, özellikle altıncı kademede (en düşük sosyoekonomik seviye) Dem Partisi kendini gösterebiliyor.","Zafer Partisi birinci kademede ilgi göstermiyor, eğitimli ailelerin genç çocuklarından ve metropollülerden oy alıyor."]},"beginTime":1217,"endTime":1281,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1217&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":15,"title":"Metropol ve Taşra Dağılımı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["İstanbul ve Ankara'daki sekiz metropolde nüfusun dörtte biri yaşıyor, geri kalan 51 il büyükşehir özelliği olmayan ilde de ülkenin dörtte biri yaşıyor.","AK Parti'nin yaygınlığı kaybettiği seçimde bile etkin bir durum, bu tür değişimler çok hızlı olmuyor.","2014 yılında 584 ilçenin belediye başkanlığını AK Parti almışken, 2024 seçiminde bu sayı 362'ye düşmüş ve oy dağılımı grafikte net bir şekilde görülebiliyor."]},"beginTime":1281,"endTime":1382,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1281&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":16,"title":"Seçim Sonuçlarının Analizi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["İlçe belediyelerinde AK Parti'den CHP'ye geçişler ciddi oranda gerçekleşmiş, bu geçişlerin yaklaşık %40'ı CHP'nin kazanımına katkı sağlamış.","AK Parti'den MHP'ye de geçişler gözlemlenmiş, ancak bu geçişlerin ittifak olarak mı yoksa bireysel oy verme olarak mı değerlendirileceği belirsiz.","Erdoğan'ın doğru stratejisi, YRP ve MHP ile ittifak yapmadan tek başına seçime girmesi olarak değerlendiriliyor, bu sayede ittifakın küskünlüğü karşılamak zorunda kalmaması sağlanmış."]},"beginTime":1389,"endTime":1448,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1389&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":17,"title":"Parti Arası Geçişler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["CHP'den AK Parti'ye, MHP'den AK Parti'ye ve İyi Parti'den AK Parti'ye geçişler de gerçekleşmiş.","İyi Parti'nin 21 ilçe belediye başkanlığı kazanması, yerel dinamikler ve ara geçişlerin etkisiyle gerçekleşmiş.","CHP'nin 10 yıl önce 164 ilçenin yönetimi CHP'deyken, şu anda 338 ilçe yönetimine sahip olmuş, iki katından fazla artış göstermiş."]},"beginTime":1448,"endTime":1514,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1448&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":18,"title":"Dem Partisi'nin Stratejisi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Dem Partisi'nin Ekrem İmamoğlu'nun adaylığını genel olarak desteklediği iddia ediliyor, ancak kendi adayı Meral Danış Beştaş'ı kampanya yapmadan desteklemiş.","İktidarın en büyük silahlarından biri, muhalefetteki siyasi partiye karşı Kürt siyasetiyle temas ettiği anda PKK'lı etiketini yapıştırabilmek.","Dem Partisi'nin açıkça desteklememesi, İmamoğlu'nun elini zora sokmamak için yapılmış olabilir."]},"beginTime":1514,"endTime":1594,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1514&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":19,"title":"Kürt Seçmenlerin Oyu","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["2014 yerel seçimlerinde HDP'nin adayı Sırrı Süreyya Önder 412 bin oy alırken, 2015 Haziran'da HDP 1 milyon oy almış.","Bazı oy havzalarında geçişkenlik var, yerel seçimde kendi adayını kazanma ihtimali yoksa CHP'nin adayını destekleme eğilimi var.","Dem Partisi, Kürt siyaseti esasında şu anda en net muhalefet olarak görülüyor."]},"beginTime":1594,"endTime":1695,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1594&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":20,"title":"AK Parti'nin Durumu","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["AK Parti için İstanbul'u alamama durumu çok önemli ve Erdoğan'ın şu aralarki sessizliği şaşırtıcı.","Erdoğan stratejiyle yürüyen birisi olduğu için, seçimden sonra ne strateji yapacağını kestirmek zor.","AK Parti'nin önüne geçmiş bir oy potansiyeli olmuş olabilir, ancak bu kolay kolay sürdürülebilir bir şey değil."]},"beginTime":1695,"endTime":1767,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1695&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":21,"title":"Erken Seçim Tartışması","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Honda'nın son araştırmalarından, 2010 yılından beri ilk defa \"bugün seçim olsa kime oy vereceksin?\" sorusuna CHP diyenler AK Parti'ye vereceğim diyenlerden daha fazla.","Bir sonraki ayda yine AK Parti'nin oranı CHP'ninki'nin üstüne çıkmış.","Belediyeleri ele geçirmiş olmak büyük bir güç timsali değil ve CHP'nin iç mekanizması henüz mükemmelliğe ulaşmamış."]},"beginTime":1767,"endTime":1855,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1767&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":22,"title":"Seçim Kartogramları","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye'nin seçim yoğunluğu kartogramı ile AK Parti'nin dağılım kartogramının şekli birbirine çok benziyor çünkü AK Parti çok yaygın bir parti.","MHP'nin dağılım kartogramında Güneydoğu ve Kuzey Orta Anadolu'da (Yozgat, Çankırı bölgesi) şişmiş, diğer bölgelerde ise içine kaçmış.","CHP'nin dağılım kartogramında İstanbul'a kocaman bir bölge oluşmuş, Doğu illerinde ise çok az yer kaplamış."]},"beginTime":1856,"endTime":2003,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1856&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":23,"title":"Kürt Siyaseti ve Terör İddiaları","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Kürt siyasetiyle yan yana olduğun anda PKK'lı sınıfına giriyorsun hikayesi, Ekrem İmamoğlu'nun gençlerle yaptığı programda \"altı milyon insanı birden terörist sınıfına koyamazsınız\" diyerek cevap vermiş.","Terör dediğimiz unsurlar, terör unsurlarının ögeleri oradaki yerel halktan çıkıyor, terörist oraya ithal olmuyor.","Terör dediğin zaman dünyada akan suları durduruyorsun, neye terör dediğini de tamamen kendin belirliyorsun."]},"beginTime":2003,"endTime":2132,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=2003&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":24,"title":"Seçim Sonuçları ve Değerlendirmeler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Rapor hazırlayan araştırmacılar için bu seçim diğerlerinden farklı olmuş, iktidarın daha bir yaygınlaştığını gözlemlemişler.","Tayyip Erdoğan, mevcut liderler arasında dünyada en uzun süredir yönetimde olan liderlerden biri (20 sene) olarak belirtiliyor.","İstanbul'un demografik özellikleri Türkiye ile çok benzer, Türkiye'nin ortalama sosyal sermaye parametreleri İstanbul'unki de benzer."]},"beginTime":2132,"endTime":2242,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=2132&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":25,"title":"İstanbul'un Değişimi ve İlçe Profilleri","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Son beş senenin verilerine göre İstanbul, eğitim, sosyal sermaye ve modernleşme anlamında Türkiye'nin daha ilerisine geçmiş durumda.","Üsküdar ve Beyoğlu gibi ilçelerde profil değişikliği yaşanıyor, ancak bu değişimin sebebi sadece ilçe sınırlarının değişmesi değil, demografik değişimler de etkili.","İstanbul'da yoğun ekonomik krizin etkisiyle bazı ilçelerde barınamayan insanlar diğer ilçelere göç ediyor, bu da ilçe nüfus hareketlerini etkiliyor."]},"beginTime":2247,"endTime":2299,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=2247&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":26,"title":"Üsküdar'ın Değişimi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Üsküdar ciddi anlamda iç göç almış, İstanbul içerisinden göç almış ve bu durum ilçenin profilini değiştirmiş.","Üsküdar'da son yirmi senede verilen alkol ruhsatı sayısı sadece iki, ancak Ümraniye ve Ataşehir'den insanlar Kadıköy'e eğlenmeye geliyor.","İstanbul'un modern hayatı artık o modern hayatı yaşamak isteyen insanlara yetmiyor, bu ihtiyaç arttıkça Kadıköy-Beşiktaş şişliği yetmiyor."]},"beginTime":2299,"endTime":2421,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=2299&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":27,"title":"Ekonomik Sebepler ve Siyasi Tercihler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Mütedeyyin bir vatandaş, AK Parti'nin Türkiye'nin hakimi olduğu dönemde iş alamıyorken, AK Parti ve etrafındaki güçler alanları kontrol etmeye başlayınca iş alabildiği ve zenginleşebildiği bir süreç yaşanıyor.","Bir kişinin hayat şekli değiştikçe siyasi tercihi de değişebilir, özellikle çocuklarının siyasi tercihi farklı olabilir.","Üsküdar'da oturan insanlar hep sabit değil, daha evvel AK Parti'ye oy verirken şimdi CHP'ye oy veren insanlar da vardır."]},"beginTime":2421,"endTime":2523,"href":"/video/preview/5605656844017077394?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=2421&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":28,"title":"Yeni Partiler ve Siyasi Dinamikler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Bir parti bir argümana sarılarak yüzde üç-beş'e kadar oy alabilir, ancak bunun üstünde bir noktaya gelebilmesi için ekonomi politikaları ve diğer politikaları da eklemesi gerekir.","Son iki seferdir \"diğer parti\" oranı yüzde onsekiz civarında kararsız olarak dağıtınca, GRP, Yeniden Refah Partisi ve Zafer Partisi'nin oy oranını açıklayacağımız bir seviyeye geldiler.","Yeniden Refah Partisi'nin kendini muhafaza etme potansiyeli daha yüksek, çünkü ağır mütedeyyin kitlenin temsiliyete ihtiyacı var ve AK Parti onları yeterince temsil 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parametrelerle değil, aynı zamanda aidiyetler ve yaşam tarzı gibi faktörlerle de toplum ayrıştırılmıştır.","Küme analizi veri tarafından ayrıştırılmış olup, her küme için \"endişeli modern\", \"geleneksel muhafazakar\" gibi isimler verilmiştir."]},"beginTime":138,"endTime":249,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=138&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":4,"title":"Modern Kavramının Anlamı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Araştırmada \"modern\" kavramının ne anlama geldiğini anlamak için derin görüşmeler yapılmış, ancak modern kavramını kimse tam olarak bilmediği ortaya çıkmıştır.","Modern kavramı, aidiyetlerle ve zenginleştikçe yapılan modern pratiklerle bağdaştırılmaktadır.","Yeni teknolojik ürünleri kullanmak bile kendini modern tarif etmek olarak algılanabilmektedir."]},"beginTime":249,"endTime":328,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=249&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":5,"title":"Toplumsal Değişim ve Değerler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["2012 ile 2021 arasında Türkiye modernleşmiş, ancak dindar muhafazakarlar gerilemiştir.","Modern kavramı, ahlaksızlık gibi farklı anlamlarla da ilişkilendirilmektedir.","Araştırmada iki eksen vardır: modern pratikler ve muhafazakar değerler, her soru bu eksenlere farklı şekilde etki etmektedir."]},"beginTime":328,"endTime":497,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=328&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":6,"title":"Toplumsal Pratikler ve Değerler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Fast food ve hazır yemekler yemeyi sevenlerin oranı, evde yemek yapmayanların daha yüksek olduğu bir pratiktir.","Aileyle dışarıda yemek yemek çok önemli bir pratiktir, ancak Türkiye'nin yaklaşık %25'i ailesiyle asla lokantada yemek yememektedir.","Arkadaşlarıyla hiçbir zaman dışarıda yemek yemeyenlerin oranı %28'dir."]},"beginTime":497,"endTime":645,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=497&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":7,"title":"Yaşam Tarzı Değişiklikleri","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Yer sofrasında yemek yiyenlerin oranı 2018'de %42 iken, 2021'de %24'e düşmüştür.","Doğalgaz kullanımının yaygınlaşması, bireyselleşme ve apartmanlaşma gibi faktörler yaşam tarzını etkilemiştir.","2008'de %60 müstakil evde oturulurken, 2021'de bu oran %25'e düşmüştür."]},"beginTime":645,"endTime":776,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=645&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":8,"title":"Köyden Kente Göç ve Hayat Tarzı Değişimi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Köyden kente göç ve apartmanlara taşınma, hayat tarzımızı devam ettirmekle birlikte pratiklikle de ilgili bir değişim getirmiştir.","Metropollerdeki hayat tarzı değiştiği için televizyon dizileri ve komşulardan etkilenerek bu değişim yavaş yavaş gerçekleşmektedir.","Apartmanlarda yerde yemek yeme oranı azalırken, kapıda ayakkabı çıkarma gibi pratikler de değişmeye başlamıştır."]},"beginTime":797,"endTime":827,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=797&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":9,"title":"Kapıda Ayakkabı Çıkarma Geleneği","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Kapıda ayakkabı çıkarma geleneği sadece hijyen kaygısından değil, Türkiye'de ve Anadolu'da namaz kılınan yere girmekle ilgili bir meselede başlamıştır.","Metropoller \"melting pot\" olarak tanımlanabilir; her şeyin birbirine girdiği, karıştığı ve sürtüşüp birbirini aşındırdığı bir yerdir.","Ayakkabı çıkarma, temizlik açısından da önemlidir; yere atılan mikropları ve balgamı evde bebek gibi hassas kişilerin olduğu yerlere taşımamak için gerekli olabilir."]},"beginTime":827,"endTime":968,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=827&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":10,"title":"Hayat Tarzı ve Doğalgaz Kullanımı","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Hayat tarzı, kültürel bir mesele olarak görülse de, değişen hayat şartlarıyla oluşan bir şeydir.","Türkiye'de doğalgaz kullanımının yaygınlaşması, hayat tarzını değiştiren önemli bir faktördür.","Doğalgaz kullanımının artışı sadece hükümetin başarısı değil, aynı zamanda halkın talep etmesiyle de ilgilidir."]},"beginTime":968,"endTime":1044,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=968&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":11,"title":"İçki İçme Oranları ve Görüşler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["2018 verilerine göre hiçbir zaman içmedim diyenlerin oranı %72, eskiden içerdim diyen kaçamak grup %7, şu anda içmiyor %29'dur.","Kadınlarda içki içme oranı çok düşük olup, büyük bir kısmı hiç içki içmemektedir.","İçki içmekle ilgili düşüncelerde, \"ben içmiyorum, kimse de içmemeli\" diyenlerin oranı %36'dır."]},"beginTime":1044,"endTime":1135,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1044&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":12,"title":"Geleneksel Değerler ve Modern Pratikler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Geleneksel değerlerden uzaklaşıp yaklaşma konusunda \"her zaman\" ve \"hiçbir zaman\" cevapları arasında bir ilişki var.","Müzik aleti çalma veya resim gibi sanatlarla uğraşma oranı %33 civarında, 2008'de bu oran %23'tü.","Ev gıda alışverişini büyük marketlerden yapma oranı %86'dı, pandemi sonrası bu oran yükseldi."]},"beginTime":1136,"endTime":1202,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1136&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":13,"title":"Tatil Alışkanlıkları","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Tatilde yurt içinde deniz kıyısına, dağa veya yaylaya gitme oranı %30, yani üçte biri hiç tatile gitmiyor.","Yurtdışına tatile gitme oranı %80, sadece %1'i \"her zaman giderim\" diyor.","2008'den 2018'e kadar tatile gitme oranları değişmedi, dolar artmasına rağmen artmıyor."]},"beginTime":1202,"endTime":1398,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1202&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":14,"title":"Eğlence Alışkanlıkları","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Eğlenmek için akşam çıkıp bara veya meyhaneye gitme oranı %18, %82'si \"hiçbir zaman\" diyor.","Bu soru toplumu bölecek bir konu olarak değerlendiriliyor."]},"beginTime":1398,"endTime":1443,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1398&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":15,"title":"Toplumsal Görüşler ve Değişimler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Helal gıda tüketimi önemli bir konu olarak görülüyor, ancak hayvanın Müslüman olması şart değil.","Erkek-kadın ilişkilerinde dini nikahın şart olduğu görüşü, toplumda %75 oranında doğru olarak kabul ediliyor.","Kadınların çalışmak için eşinden izin alması gerektiği görüşü, 2018'de %55'ten 2022'de %40'a kadar düşmüş durumda."]},"beginTime":1444,"endTime":1508,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1444&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":16,"title":"Toplumsal Görüşlerin Değişimi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["\"Erkek sever de döver de\" sorusu 2008'de %25 evet ile başlamış, şu anda %7-8'e kadar düşmüş durumda.","Kız veya oğlunun farklı cinsel yönelimleri olabileceği görüşü, 2008'de %90 oranında yanlış olarak kabul edilirken, 2022'de %14 oranında doğru olarak görülüyor.","Eşcinsellik ve LGBT meselesi toplumda yaygın bir konu olmasına rağmen, anketlerde bu kavramları doğru şekilde ifade etmek zor."]},"beginTime":1508,"endTime":1592,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1508&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":17,"title":"Toplumsal Değişim ve Modernleşme","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Konda tarihinde vejetaryen oranını anlamaya çalışmak zor çünkü et yemeyenler ve vegan'ı yanlış anlayanlar farklı cevaplar veriyor.","Damadın veya gelinin farklı etnik kökenden olabileceği görüşü, %25-57 oranında doğru olarak görülüyor.","İnsanların estetik ameliyat yaptırmalarının normal olduğu görüşü, 2015'te %20'den 2018'e kadar %50'ye çıkmış durumda."]},"beginTime":1592,"endTime":1680,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1592&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":18,"title":"Türkiye'nin Modernleşme Süreci","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye, modernleşmek isteyen ve bu konuda çok geriye gitmeyen bir toplum olarak tanımlanıyor.","Türkiye'de çok hızlı göç, eğitim oranının yükselişi, üniversite sayısının artması ve internetin hızlı yayılması gibi değişimler yaşanıyor.","Modernleşme sürecinde, yaşam şekli ve sosyal çevre ile aile değerleri arasında bir çatışma yaşanabiliyor, ancak bu değişimde geriden gelmesi mantıklı bir durum olarak değerlendiriliyor."]},"beginTime":1680,"endTime":1751,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1680&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":19,"title":"Türkiye'de İçki Kullanımı ve Siyasi Tercihler","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye'de içki içmeyen insanlar yüzde seksen, içki içenlerin olduğu bir partinin iktidara gelme şansı yok.","İçki içme modernlik tanımı olarak görülse de, Türkiye'de içki içenlerin ve içilmesine karşı olmayanların toplamı bile bir partiye oy veremeyecek kadar az.","AKP'nin sürekli kazanması, toplumun içinde yaşadığı koşullara bağlı olarak anlaşılabilir."]},"beginTime":1756,"endTime":1816,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1756&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":20,"title":"Sosyal Medya ve Türkiye'nin Gelişimi","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye, iyi bir zamanlamayla yirmi sene boyunca ülkeye hükmeden bir hükümetle geçirdi ve sosyal medya hayatın içine girdi.","Televizyon kanallarının sahiplikleri değişti ve iktidarla ilişkili hale geldi, büyük çoğunluğu iktidar aleyhine söz söyleyemez hale geldi.","Sosyal medya, insanların farklı yerlerdeki hayatları görmeleri ve kendi içinde yaşadıkları hayatın tek hayat olmadığını fark etmelerine olanak sağladı."]},"beginTime":1816,"endTime":1976,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1816&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":21,"title":"Türkiye'nin Farklı Küme Profili","list":{"type":"unordered","items":["Türkiye'nin yüzde dokuz'u (altı milyon kişi) endişeli modern olarak tanımlanıyor, bu küme üçte biri genç, yarıdan fazlası bekar.","Endişeli modernlerin çoğunluğu kırsalda yaşıyor, doğu bölgelerinde doğmuş ve Kürtlerin beşte biri bu kümede.","Muhafazakar modeller yüzde onbeş (dokuz milyon kişi) olarak tanımlanıyor, altıvirgülelli milyon erkek ağırlıklı ve çok genç bir küme."]},"beginTime":1976,"endTime":2114,"href":"/video/preview/13121624675240295207?parent-reqid=1765312532183605-6641289444057892200-balancer-l7leveler-kubr-yp-sas-204-BAL&text=Erdem+Ayd%C4%B1n&t=1976&ask_summarization=1"},{"index":22,"title":"Türkiye'nin Diğer Küme 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